Here was a really nice short opportunity. I broke it up into two charts to give you the setup from a 30 minute MP and regular MP perspective as well as a 6 tick Reversal confirmation. I am still recuperating from dental surgery so I didn't trade today. But, I watched this trade set up and pass me by. While I am not 100%, I really wanted to post today, as I have not had much of a chance the past number of days due to computer problems and then the surgery.
There was an interesting discussion in the IOAMT trading room today as to whether it is more beneficial to just place a limit order at at Key Area or to wait for a reversal or confirmation signal on the shorter term footprint chart.
Bill Duryea's observation was that you don't usually have to give up too much in location by waiting for the confirmation and you get a lot in return for waiting. I heartily agree. Here are my reasons:
1. Limit orders placed in advance will all too often not be filled when the market doesn't quite hit the level.
2. Limit orders may be blown thru.
3. If I can get a good location with confirmation, my odds of a winning trade go up substantially.
On the side of placing a limit order in advance, there are definitely benefits (sometimes). We have all seen the market hit a key level (often to the tick), reverse and go off to the races without us. While this is irritating for sure, I have probably seen an equal amount of times when the market doesn't quite reach my order level or (even more exasperating), hits my order without filling me - before it takes off.
Waiting for footprint confirmation keeps me on my toes, observing what the market is really saying rather than entering on a bias based only on the longer time frame. In this way, I get the best of both worlds. All in all, my preference is to wait for confirmation. As my skills in reading the volume at price charts have grown over time, this method has become comfortable and profitable. Feel free to chime in with your thoughts on this.
I hope you have been having a good trading week. I hope to be full blast by Friday.
Hope this helps.
MG